S&P dự báo tăng trưởng GDP của Việt Nam trong năm 2020 sẽ đạt 1,9% và 11,2% vào năm 2021. Dự báo này cao hơn so với mức 1,8% của năm nay và 6,3% trong năm sau của ADB mới đây.

Trung Quốc đứng thứ nhất trong bảng xếp hạng về tốc độ tăng trưởng khi S&P nâng dự báo tăng trưởng nền kinh tế tỷ dân này trong năm 2020 từ mức 1,2% lên 2,1%, nhưng lại hạ dự báo tăng trưởng GDP của năm tới từ mức 7,4% xuống 6,9%. Điều này là tương đối bất ngờ khi Trung Quốc vốn được cho là nơi khởi phát dịch Covid-19, cũng là quốc gia đầu tiên phải thực hiện những biện pháp giãn cách xã hội.
Ngoài 3 nền kinh tế là Trung Quốc, Việt Nam và Đài Loan có tăng trưởng, các nền kinh tế khác trong khu vực đều được dự báo bị suy giảm từ 0,9 – 9,5%.
Theo xếp hạng của S&P, mức giảm GDP lớn nhất là Philippines, lên tới 9,5% vào năm nay, sau đó phục hồi và đạt mức tăng trưởng 9,6% vào năm 2021. Tiếp đó là Ấn Độ, ước tính suy giảm 9% trong năm nay, sau đó đạt mức tăng trưởng 10% vào năm 2021.
Một số quốc gia khác có tình hình đỡ tồi tệ hơn như Thái Lan (giảm 7,2%), Singapore (giảm 5,8%), Malaysia (giảm 5%) và Indonesia (giảm 1,1%).
Nhìn chung, đối với khu vực châu Á – Thái Bình Dương, S&P kỳ vọng các nền kinh tế trong khu vực sẽ giảm 2% vào năm 2020 và tăng trưởng 6,9% vào năm tới, vẫn thấp hơn 5% so với xu hướng trước Covid-19.
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